Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.002055 0.002260 0.002484 0.002748 0.003053 0.003396 0.003813
2025-11-16 0.001828 0.002139 0.002510 0.002992 0.003613 0.004401 0.005504
2025-11-23 0.001654 0.002023 0.002493 0.003152 0.004080 0.005387 0.007465
2025-11-30 0.001484 0.001875 0.002396 0.003170 0.004340 0.006137 0.009337
2025-12-07 0.001325 0.001713 0.002250 0.003081 0.004410 0.006601 0.010901
2025-12-14 0.001210 0.001596 0.002146 0.003032 0.004519 0.007142 0.012810
2025-12-21 0.001104 0.001479 0.002027 0.002936 0.004528 0.007497 0.014489
2025-12-28 0.000981 0.001325 0.001836 0.002700 0.004249 0.007240 0.014678
2026-01-04 0.000896 0.001223 0.001714 0.002562 0.004124 0.007259 0.015563
2026-01-11 0.000841 0.001161 0.001650 0.002514 0.004157 0.007615 0.017527
2026-01-18 0.000799 0.001115 0.001607 0.002495 0.004243 0.008107 0.020188
2026-01-25 0.000873 0.001255 0.001879 0.003083 0.005693 0.012408 0.040574
2026-02-01 0.000848 0.001240 0.001897 0.003213 0.006237 0.014808 0.059273
2026-02-08 0.000801 0.001186 0.001844 0.003201 0.006462 0.016460 0.079277
2026-02-15 0.000774 0.001162 0.001844 0.003297 0.006996 0.019572 0.124506
2026-02-22 0.000737 0.001119 0.001801 0.003297 0.007276 0.022007 0.182675
2026-03-01 0.000692 0.001058 0.001721 0.003199 0.007251 0.023183 0.238167
2026-03-08 0.000656 0.001012 0.001663 0.003146 0.007350 0.025067 0.340560
2026-03-15 0.000619 0.000960 0.001590 0.003044 0.007275 0.026068 0.451205
2026-03-22 0.000569 0.000882 0.001461 0.002796 0.006678 0.023899 0.410875
2026-03-29 0.000533 0.000829 0.001377 0.002651 0.006396 0.023418 0.454531
2026-04-05 0.000510 0.000797 0.001334 0.002601 0.006418 0.024753 0.651360
2026-04-12 0.000491 0.000773 0.001305 0.002581 0.006543 0.026882 1.095071